SimpleFunctions

7 or more cuts · Will Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026

7 or more cuts is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 6 inside Will Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026.

Price history

1¢ current

15¢
0¢10¢20¢
Jun 2, 2026Jun 3, 2026

Contract brief

If the total number of Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 is at least 7 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

7 or more cuts

Rank

#5 of 6

Leader

Exactly 4 cuts 48¢

Range

1¢-48¢

Family volume

$396

Identifier

KXBRRATECUT-27JAN01-T7

Jun 26, 2026, 1:43 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 1:43 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$8

Family rank

#5 of 6

6 outcomes · Will Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$396

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 2¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢2.5K
AskSize
2¢3.3K
4¢250
5¢70
6¢32
7¢37

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the total number of Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 is at least 7 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXBRRATECUT-27JAN01-T7

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$396

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Exactly 4 cuts 48¢

Current share

2%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

medium

Event type

political

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.