Chad Tracy · KXMLBALMOTY-26
Chad Tracy is priced at 51¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 49¢ bid, 50¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXMLBALMOTY-26.
Price history
51¢ current
+49¢Contract brief
If Chad Tracy wins the Pro Baseball American League Manager of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Chad Tracy
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Chad Tracy 49¢
Range
1¢-49¢
Family volume
$13K
Identifier
KXMLBALMOTY-26-CTRA
Aug 8, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
49¢
Ask
50¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$5K
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBALMOTY-26
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Family volume
$13K
Orderbook snapshot
49 / 50¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Chad Tracy wins the Pro Baseball American League Manager of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBALMOTY-26-CTRA
Event family
KXMLBALMOTY-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$13K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Chad Tracy 49¢
Current share
38%
Chad Tracy
kalshi · KXMLBALMOTY-26-CTRA
Will Venable
kalshi · KXMLBALMOTY-26-WVEN
Kevin Cash
kalshi · KXMLBALMOTY-26-KCAS
Joe Espada
kalshi · KXMLBALMOTY-26-JESP
A.J. Hinch
kalshi · KXMLBALMOTY-26-AHIN
Aaron Boone
kalshi · KXMLBALMOTY-26-ABOO
Alex Cora
kalshi · KXMLBALMOTY-26-ACOR
Derek Shelton
kalshi · KXMLBALMOTY-26-DSHE
Skip Schumaker
kalshi · KXMLBALMOTY-26-SSCH
Craig Albernaz
kalshi · KXMLBALMOTY-26-CALB
Dan Wilson
kalshi · KXMLBALMOTY-26-DWIL
John Schneider
kalshi · KXMLBALMOTY-26-JSCH
Kurt Suzuki
kalshi · KXMLBALMOTY-26-KSUZ
Mark Kotsay
kalshi · KXMLBALMOTY-26-MKOT
Matt Quatraro
kalshi · KXMLBALMOTY-26-MQUA
Stephen Vogt
kalshi · KXMLBALMOTY-26-SVOG
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.