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Skip Schumaker · KXMLBALMOTY-26

Skip Schumaker is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXMLBALMOTY-26.

Price history

5¢ current

+2¢
0¢5¢
Jul 27, 2026Aug 12, 2026

Contract brief

If Skip Schumaker wins the Pro Baseball American League Manager of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Skip Schumaker

Rank

#4 of 16

Leader

Will Venable 61¢

Range

1¢-61¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXMLBALMOTY-26-SSCH

Aug 27, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 25m ago

Implied probability

5¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 25m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$24K

Family rank

#4 of 16

16 outcomes · KXMLBALMOTY-26

Closes

Dec 8, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 1¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
2¢210
4¢200
9¢70
20¢663
100¢1.5K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Skip Schumaker wins the Pro Baseball American League Manager of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 8, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBALMOTY-26-SSCH

SF Signal
SF Index
3351.80
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

6703.6%

IY (No)

18.6%

Adj IY

3352%

CRI

19

Overround

0.0%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

6703.6%
18.6%
Adj IY
3352%
19
Overround
0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.