Charles Gambaro · KXFLPRIMARY-06R26
Charles Gambaro is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside KXFLPRIMARY-06R26.
Price history
12¢ current
+9¢Contract brief
If Charles Gambaro wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Charles Gambaro
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
Randy Fine 85¢
Range
1¢-85¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXFLPRIMARY-06R26-CGAM
Jun 24, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
12¢
Ask
17¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · KXFLPRIMARY-06R26
Closes
Aug 18, 2027
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
12 / 17¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Charles Gambaro wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 18, 2027
Identifier
KXFLPRIMARY-06R26-CGAM
Event family
KXFLPRIMARY-06R26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Randy Fine 85¢
Current share
41%
Randy Fine
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-06R26-RFIN
Charles Gambaro
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-06R26-CGAM
Daniel Bilzerian
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-06R26-DBIL
Aaron Baker
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-06R26-ABAK
Ernest Audino
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-06R26-EAUD
Alexandra van Cleef
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-06R26-ACLE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.