SimpleFunctions
KalshiAug 18, 2027466 days left

Will Daniel Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

This contract is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

22¢
$25K volume
$18K liquidity
660% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$4K

Best sibling

Aaron Baker 1¢

Ticker

KXFLPRIMARY-06R26-DBIL

Market snapshot

Daniel Bilzerian in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Daniel Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?. The displayed quote is 22¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $2K. In the KXFLPRIMARY-06R26 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Daniel Bilzerian

Family rank

#2 of 6

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

22¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Aug 18, 2027

24h volume

$2K

Family context

6 outcomes · KXFLPRIMARY-06R26

Quote range

1¢-77¢

Family leader

Randy Fine 77¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: KXFLPRIMARY-06R26-DBIL. Family volume: $4K.

Price history

22¢ current

+19¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 4, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

21 / 22¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
21¢127
20¢205
19¢462
18¢557
17¢250
AskSize
22¢941
23¢227
24¢420
25¢750
26¢511

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Daniel Bilzerian wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 18, 2027

Identifier

KXFLPRIMARY-06R26-DBIL

Event family

KXFLPRIMARY-06R26.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$4K

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Randy Fine 77¢

Current share

64%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

294.5%

IY (No)

20.8%

Adj IY

280%

CRI

4

RV

861%

VR

5.53

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

294.5%
20.8%
Adj IY
280%
4
RV
861%
VR
5.53
IAR
2.4/h
LAS
0.05

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