Charlie Hatcher · KXTNPRIMARY-05R26
Charlie Hatcher is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside KXTNPRIMARY-05R26.
Price history
18¢ current
+15¢Contract brief
If Charlie Hatcher wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TN-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Charlie Hatcher
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Andy Ogles 79¢
Range
1¢-79¢
Family volume
$111
Identifier
KXTNPRIMARY-05R26-CHAT
Jun 25, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
12¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$106
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · KXTNPRIMARY-05R26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$111
Orderbook snapshot
12 / 18¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Charlie Hatcher wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TN-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXTNPRIMARY-05R26-CHAT
Event family
KXTNPRIMARY-05R26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$111
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Andy Ogles 79¢
Current share
96%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.