Christina Hines · KXMIPRIMARY-10D26
Christina Hines is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside KXMIPRIMARY-10D26.
Price history
40¢ current
−15¢Contract brief
If Christina Hines wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-10 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Christina Hines
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Eric Chung 44¢
Range
6¢-44¢
Family volume
$20
Identifier
KXMIPRIMARY-10D26-CHIN
Jun 23, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
39¢
Ask
43¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$10
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · KXMIPRIMARY-10D26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$20
Orderbook snapshot
39 / 43¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Christina Hines wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-10 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMIPRIMARY-10D26-CHIN
Event family
KXMIPRIMARY-10D26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$20
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Eric Chung 44¢
Current share
50%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.