Christopher Bell · KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26
Christopher Bell is priced at 68¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 63¢ bid, 69¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26.
Price history
68¢ current
−20¢Contract brief
If Christopher Bell finishes in the top 20 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Quaker State 400 Available at Walmart, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Christopher Bell
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Tyler Reddick 77¢
Range
33¢-77¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26-CHBE
Jul 11, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
63¢
Ask
69¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$300
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26
Closes
Aug 10, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
63 / 69¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Christopher Bell finishes in the top 20 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Quaker State 400 Available at Walmart, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 10, 2026
Identifier
KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26-CHBE
Event family
KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Tyler Reddick 77¢
Current share
13%
Tyler Reddick
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26-TYRE
Joey Logano
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26-JOLO
William Byron
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26-WIBY
Christopher Bell
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26-CHBE
Denny Hamlin
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26-DEHA
Kyle Larson
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26-KYLA
Michael McDowell
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26-MIMC
Erik Jones
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26-ERJO
Ricky Stenhouse
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26-RIST
Ryan Preece
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26-RYPR
Austin Dillon
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26-AUDI
Todd Gilliland
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26-TOGI
John H. Nemechek
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26-JONE
Riley Herbst
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26-RIHE
Ty Dillon
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26-TYDI
Cole Custer
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP20-QUAS4AA26-COCU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 68% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.