SimpleFunctions

Chuck Timely & The Hourglass by ROLE MODEL have above 15000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026 tracking week

Above 15K is priced at 91¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 84¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 10 inside Will Chuck Timely & The Hourglass by ROLE MODEL have above.

Price history

91¢ current

+20¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jul 9, 2026Jul 12, 2026

Contract brief

If Chuck Timely & The Hourglass by ROLE MODEL has above 15K Album Equivalent Units during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 15K

Rank

#3 of 10

Leader

Above 5K 96¢

Range

3¢-96¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-CHU26AUG13-15K

Jul 12, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

91¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 12, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

84¢

Ask

91¢

Spread

Reported volume

$644

Family rank

#3 of 10

10 outcomes · Will Chuck Timely & The Hourglass by ROLE MODEL have above

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

84 / 91¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
84¢20
83¢100
5¢1.4K
4¢200
AskSize
91¢100
92¢25
96¢192
97¢75
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Chuck Timely & The Hourglass by ROLE MODEL has above 15K Album Equivalent Units during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-CHU26AUG13-15K

SF Signal
SF Index
2752.76
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMEQUIV series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

199.7%

IY (No)

5505.5%

Adj IY

2753%

CRI

5

Overround

3.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

199.7%
5505.5%
Adj IY
2753%
5
Overround
3.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.