SimpleFunctions

Chuck Timely & The Hourglass by ROLE MODEL have above 5000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026 tracking week

Above 5K is priced at 97¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 96¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 10 inside Will Chuck Timely & The Hourglass by ROLE MODEL have above.

Price history

97¢ current

+5¢
90¢95¢100¢
Jul 9, 2026Jul 12, 2026

Contract brief

If Chuck Timely & The Hourglass by ROLE MODEL has above 5K Album Equivalent Units during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 5K

Rank

#1 of 10

Leader

Above 5K 96¢

Range

3¢-96¢

Family volume

$128

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-CHU26AUG13-5K

Jul 13, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 24m ago

Implied probability

97¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 13, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 24m ago

Bid

96¢

Ask

99¢

Spread

Reported volume

$550

Family rank

#1 of 10

10 outcomes · Will Chuck Timely & The Hourglass by ROLE MODEL have above

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Family volume

$128

Orderbook snapshot

96 / 99¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
96¢100
92¢100
61¢263
60¢75
11¢25
AskSize
99¢601

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Chuck Timely & The Hourglass by ROLE MODEL has above 5K Album Equivalent Units during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-CHU26AUG13-5K

SF Signal
SF Index
25039.28
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMEQUIV series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

44.9%

IY (No)

25848.3%

Adj IY

25039%

CRI

24

RV

312%

VR

4.56

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

44.9%
25848.3%
Adj IY
25039%
24
RV
312%
VR
4.56
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
3.5%
LAS
0.03

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Blogtech

MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket

Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.