Cleveland · KXNBACENTRAL-26
Cleveland is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside KXNBACENTRAL-26.
Price history
37¢ current
+34¢Contract brief
If Cleveland is the Central Division winner in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Cleveland
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Detroit 38¢
Range
21¢-38¢
Family volume
$535
Identifier
KXNBACENTRAL-26-CLE
Jul 26, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
35¢
Ask
37¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$535
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · KXNBACENTRAL-26
Closes
Jul 14, 2027
Family volume
$535
Orderbook snapshot
35 / 37¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Cleveland is the Central Division winner in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 14, 2027
Identifier
KXNBACENTRAL-26-CLE
Event family
KXNBACENTRAL-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$535
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Detroit 38¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 37% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.