SimpleFunctions

Detroit · KXNBACENTRAL-26

Detroit is priced at 44¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 49¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside KXNBACENTRAL-26.

Price history

44¢ current

+41¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jul 2, 2026Jul 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Detroit is the Central Division winner in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Detroit

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

Detroit 38¢

Range

16¢-38¢

Family volume

$535

Identifier

KXNBACENTRAL-26-DET

Jul 26, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

44¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jul 26, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

39¢

Ask

49¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · KXNBACENTRAL-26

Closes

Jul 14, 2027

Family volume

$535

Orderbook snapshot

39 / 49¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
39¢350
38¢500
37¢102
36¢1.0K
24¢120
AskSize
49¢5
50¢500
51¢1.0K
62¢751
63¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Detroit is the Central Division winner in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 14, 2027

Identifier

KXNBACENTRAL-26-DET

SF Signal
SF Index
161.60
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNBACENTRAL-26.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$535

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Detroit 38¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

161.6%

IY (No)

66.1%

Adj IY

162%

CRI

2

RV

319%

VR

2.50

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

161.6%
66.1%
Adj IY
162%
2
RV
319%
VR
2.50
IAR
1.3/h
Overround
-0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.