SimpleFunctions

Cleveland · KXNBAPLAYIN-27EAST

Cleveland is priced at 42¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 23¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 15 inside KXNBAPLAYIN-27EAST.

Price history

42¢ current

+39¢
0¢25¢
Jul 14, 2026Aug 8, 2026

Contract brief

If Cleveland qualifies for the Pro Basketball Eastern Conference Play-In Tournament in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Cleveland

Rank

#3 of 15

Leader

Miami 25¢

Range

2¢-25¢

Family volume

$18

Identifier

KXNBAPLAYIN-27EAST-CLE

Aug 8, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 31m ago

Implied probability

42¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 8, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 31m ago

Bid

22¢

Ask

45¢

Spread

23¢

Reported volume

$2

Family rank

#3 of 15

15 outcomes · KXNBAPLAYIN-27EAST

Closes

Jun 15, 2027

Family volume

$18

Orderbook snapshot

22 / 45¢

Kalshi
23¢ spread
BidSize
100¢260
22¢150
21¢150
20¢300
7¢90
AskSize
45¢150
46¢300
60¢90
73¢5
74¢13

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Cleveland qualifies for the Pro Basketball Eastern Conference Play-In Tournament in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 15, 2027

Identifier

KXNBAPLAYIN-27EAST-CLE

SF Signal
SF Index
3793.04
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3793.0%

IY (No)

3.6%

Adj IY

3793%

CRI

32

RV

27856%

VR

91.77

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3793.0%
3.6%
Adj IY
3793%
32
RV
27856%
VR
91.77
IAR
1.5/h
Overround
0.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.