SimpleFunctions

Philadelphia · KXNBAPLAYIN-27EAST

Philadelphia is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 52¢ ask, 38¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 15 inside KXNBAPLAYIN-27EAST.

Price history

28¢ current

+21¢
25¢
Jul 9, 2026Jul 30, 2026

Contract brief

If Philadelphia qualifies for the Pro Basketball Eastern Conference Play-In Tournament in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Philadelphia

Rank

#10 of 15

Leader

Miami 35¢

Range

1¢-35¢

Family volume

$34

Identifier

KXNBAPLAYIN-27EAST-PHI

Jul 31, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

28¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 31, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

14¢

Ask

52¢

Spread

38¢

Reported volume

$259

Family rank

#10 of 15

15 outcomes · KXNBAPLAYIN-27EAST

Closes

Jun 15, 2027

Family volume

$34

Orderbook snapshot

14 / 52¢

Kalshi
38¢ spread
BidSize
14¢20
13¢2
11¢150
9¢9.5K
7¢1.9K
AskSize
52¢25
53¢150
55¢220
56¢295
60¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Philadelphia qualifies for the Pro Basketball Eastern Conference Play-In Tournament in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 15, 2027

Identifier

KXNBAPLAYIN-27EAST-PHI

SF Signal
SF Index
703.02
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

703.0%

IY (No)

18.6%

Adj IY

703%

CRI

6

RV

589%

VR

2.29

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

703.0%
18.6%
Adj IY
703%
6
RV
589%
VR
2.29
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
1.7%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Blogtech

MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket

Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.