SimpleFunctions

Coinbase Global Inc. report Above $290 billion total trading volume in Q2 2026

Above $290 billion is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 15 inside Will Coinbase Global Inc. report.

Price history

5¢ current

44¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jul 9, 2026Jul 12, 2026

Contract brief

If Coinbase Global Inc. reports Above 290000000000 total trading volume in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $290 billion

Rank

#15 of 15

Leader

Above $160 billion 66¢

Range

4¢-66¢

Family volume

$21K

Identifier

KXCOINBASE-26JULVOL-290000000000

Jul 12, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

5¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 12, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$233

Family rank

#15 of 15

15 outcomes · Will Coinbase Global Inc. report

Closes

Nov 27, 2026

Family volume

$21K

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 9¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
100¢378
4¢1.1K
3¢2.3K
2¢1.3K
AskSize
9¢2
49¢51
50¢250
58¢49
59¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Coinbase Global Inc. reports Above 290000000000 total trading volume in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 27, 2026

Identifier

KXCOINBASE-26JULVOL-290000000000

SF Signal
SF Index
3186.57
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

6373.1%

IY (No)

11.1%

Adj IY

3187%

CRI

24

Overround

3.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

6373.1%
11.1%
Adj IY
3187%
24
Overround
3.2%

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinionessay

Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders

Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Blogpolitics

US Midterm Elections 2026 Prediction Markets: Trading the Battle for Congress

A deep‑dive guide for prediction market traders on the 2026 US midterm elections: House and Senate control odds, key races, Trump’s impact, economic and approval scenarios, polling accuracy, and data‑driven trading strategies.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.