SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 29, 2026234 days left

Will Coldplay have a top 20 song this year?

This contract is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 13¢ spread.

Implied probability

18¢
$108 volume
$108 liquidity
961% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$11

Best sibling

Travis Scott 45¢

Ticker

KX20SONG-26DEC26-COL

Market snapshot

Coldplay in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Coldplay have a top 20 song this year?. The displayed quote is 18¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $108. In the KX20SONG-26DEC26 family, this outcome ranks #14 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Coldplay

Family rank

#14 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

18¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 29, 2026

Reported volume

$108

Family context

16 outcomes · KX20SONG-26DEC26

Quote range

2¢-99¢

Family leader

Drake 99¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: KX20SONG-26DEC26-COL. Family volume: $11.

Price history

18¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 18¢

Kalshi
13¢ spread
BidSize
100¢865
5¢200
3¢130
AskSize
18¢200
80¢200
81¢658
97¢1
99¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Coldplay has a top 20 single on the Billboard Hot 100 by the Billboard issue for Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Identifier

KX20SONG-26DEC26-COL

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2959.3%

IY (No)

8.2%

Adj IY

1480%

CRI

19

Overround

14.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2959.3%
8.2%
Adj IY
1480%
19
Overround
14.2%

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