Coldplay · KXALBUMRELEASE-26
Coldplay is priced at 41¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KXALBUMRELEASE-26.
Price history
41¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If Coldplay releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Coldplay
Rank
#14 of 16
Leader
Stray Kids 99¢
Range
14¢-99¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASE-26-COL
Jul 10, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
29¢
Ask
36¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#14 of 16
16 outcomes · KXALBUMRELEASE-26
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
29 / 36¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Coldplay releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASE-26-COL
Event family
KXALBUMRELEASE-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Stray Kids 99¢
Current share
0%
Stray Kids
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-STR
Alex Warren
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-ALE
KATSEYE
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-KAT
John Mayer
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-JOH
Lana Del Rey
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-LAN
Beyoncé
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BEY
2 Chainz
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-2CH
Ice Spice
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-ICE
Taylor Swift
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-TAY
Leon Thomas
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-LEO
Kendrick Lamar
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-KEN
Anuel AA
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-ANU
21 Savage
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-21S
Coldplay
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-COL
Lil Nas X
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-NASX
Addison Rae
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-ADD
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.