Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers
Above 334.400 is priced at 88¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 75¢ bid, 89¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for June 2026 be above 33.
Price history
88¢ current
+75¢Contract brief
If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for June 2026 is above 334.400, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 334.400
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Above 334.400 87¢
Range
1¢-87¢
Family volume
$17K
Identifier
KXCPINDEX-26JUL14-T334.400
Jul 9, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
75¢
Ask
89¢
Spread
14¢
24h volume
$363
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for June 2026 be above 33
Closes
Jul 14, 2026
Family volume
$17K
Orderbook snapshot
75 / 89¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for June 2026 is above 334.400, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 14, 2026
Identifier
KXCPINDEX-26JUL14-T334.400
Event family
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for June 2026 be above 33.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$17K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above 334.400 87¢
Current share
2%
Above 334.400
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26JUL14-T334.400
Above 334.500
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26JUL14-T334.500
Above 334.600
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26JUL14-T334.600
Above 334.700
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26JUL14-T334.700
Above 334.800
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26JUL14-T334.800
Above 334.900
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26JUL14-T334.900
Above 335.000
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26JUL14-T335.000
Above 335.100
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26JUL14-T335.100
Above 335.200
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26JUL14-T335.200
Above 335.300
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26JUL14-T335.300
Above 335.400
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26JUL14-T335.400
Above 335.500
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26JUL14-T335.500
Above 335.600
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26JUL14-T335.600
Above 335.700
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26JUL14-T335.700
Above 335.800
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26JUL14-T335.800
Above 335.900
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26JUL14-T335.900
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.