SimpleFunctions

Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers

Above 335.000 is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for June 2026 be above 33.

Price history

11¢ current

28¢
0¢25¢
Jul 6, 2026Jul 10, 2026

Contract brief

If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for June 2026 is above 335.000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 335.000

Rank

#7 of 16

Leader

Above 334.400 95¢

Range

1¢-95¢

Family volume

$12K

Identifier

KXCPINDEX-26JUL14-T335.000

Jul 11, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

11¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 11, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

10¢

Ask

11¢

Spread

24h volume

$681

Family rank

#7 of 16

16 outcomes · Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for June 2026 be above 33

Closes

Jul 14, 2026

Family volume

$12K

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 11¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
10¢39
8¢39
6¢75
5¢1.2K
4¢300
AskSize
11¢25
13¢25
20¢75
44¢3
47¢55

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for June 2026 is above 335.000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 14, 2026

Identifier

KXCPINDEX-26JUL14-T335.000

SF Signal
SF Index
93483.21
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

9

VR

0.60

IAR

0.3/h

EE

49.000

Overround

2.3%

Regime

taker

Score

0.625

Full indicator table

9
VR
0.60
IAR
0.3/h
49.000
Overround
2.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.