CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in June
Above 0.2% is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 38¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 11 inside Will CPI Core rise more than.
Price history
38¢ current
+37¢Contract brief
If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for June 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 0.2%
Rank
#3 of 11
Leader
Above 0.0% 95¢
Range
1¢-95¢
Family volume
$21K
Identifier
KXCPICORE-26JUN-T0.2
Jul 9, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 57m ago
Implied probability
Bid
38¢
Ask
39¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$6K
Family rank
#3 of 11
11 outcomes · Will CPI Core rise more than
Closes
Jul 14, 2026
Family volume
$21K
Orderbook snapshot
38 / 39¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for June 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 14, 2026
Identifier
KXCPICORE-26JUN-T0.2
Event family
Will CPI Core rise more than.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$21K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Above 0.0% 95¢
Current share
27%
Above 0.0%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26JUN-T0.0
Above 0.1%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26JUN-T0.1
Above 0.2%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26JUN-T0.2
Above 0.3%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26JUN-T0.3
Above 0.5%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26JUN-T0.5
Above 1.0%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26JUN-T1.0
Above 0.4%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26JUN-T0.4
Above 0.6%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26JUN-T0.6
Above 0.7%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26JUN-T0.7
Above 0.8%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26JUN-T0.8
Above 0.9%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26JUN-T0.9
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.635
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.