SimpleFunctions

Darryn Peterson · KXBBALLTEAMUSA-28

Darryn Peterson is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside KXBBALLTEAMUSA-28.

Price history

24¢ current

+19¢
0¢10¢20¢
Jun 23, 2026Jul 12, 2026

Contract brief

If Darryn Peterson is selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Darryn Peterson

Rank

#9 of 16

Leader

Anthony Edwards 91¢

Range

8¢-91¢

Family volume

$663

Identifier

KXBBALLTEAMUSA-28-DPETERSON

Jul 12, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

24¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 12, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

15¢

Ask

25¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$511

Family rank

#9 of 16

16 outcomes · KXBBALLTEAMUSA-28

Closes

Jul 31, 2028

Family volume

$663

Orderbook snapshot

15 / 25¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
15¢5
14¢250
5¢50
AskSize
25¢250
67¢354
70¢50
99¢80

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Darryn Peterson is selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 31, 2028

Identifier

KXBBALLTEAMUSA-28-DPETERSON

SF Signal
SF Index
137.87
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

275.7%

IY (No)

8.6%

Adj IY

138%

CRI

6

Overround

12.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

275.7%
8.6%
Adj IY
138%
6
Overround
12.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.