De'Aaron Fox · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12
De'Aaron Fox is priced at 34¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside KXNBATRADE-27FEB12.
Price history
34¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If De'Aaron Fox is traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
De'Aaron Fox
Rank
#9 of 16
Leader
Brandon Ingram 84¢
Range
13¢-84¢
Family volume
$962
Identifier
KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DFOX4
Aug 26, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
29¢
Ask
38¢
Spread
9¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#9 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12
Closes
Feb 12, 2027
Family volume
$962
Orderbook snapshot
29 / 38¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If De'Aaron Fox is traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 12, 2027
Identifier
KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DFOX4
Event family
KXNBATRADE-27FEB12.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$962
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Brandon Ingram 84¢
Current share
0%
Brandon Ingram
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-BINGRAM3
Jimmy Butler
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-JBUTLER10
Daniel Gafford
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DGAFFORD21
Derrick White
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DWHITE9
Dyson Daniels
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DDANIELS5
Anthony Davis
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-ADAVIS23
Andrew Wiggins
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-AWIGGINS22
Donte DiVincenzo
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DDIVINCENZO0
De'Aaron Fox
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DFOX4
Jamal Murray
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-JMURRAY27
Joel Embiid
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-JEMBIID21
Aaron Gordon
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-AGORDON32
Dillon Brooks
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DBROOKS3
Anthony Black
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-ABLACK0
Donovan Mitchell
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DMITCHELL45
DeMar DeRozan
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DDEROZAN10
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 34% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.