Dua Lipa · KX1ALBUM-26DEC
Dua Lipa is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KX1ALBUM-26DEC.
Price history
17¢ current
+10¢Contract brief
If Dua Lipa has a #1 album on the Billboard 200 by Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Dua Lipa
Rank
#8 of 16
Leader
Miley Cyrus 41¢
Range
1¢-41¢
Family volume
$432
Identifier
KX1ALBUM-26DEC-CUA
Sep 16, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
17¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#8 of 16
16 outcomes · KX1ALBUM-26DEC
Closes
Dec 27, 2026
Family volume
$432
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 17¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Dua Lipa has a #1 album on the Billboard 200 by Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 27, 2026
Identifier
KX1ALBUM-26DEC-CUA
Event family
KX1ALBUM-26DEC.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$432
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Miley Cyrus 41¢
Current share
2%
Miley Cyrus
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-MIL
Travis Scott
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-TRA
Post Malone
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-POS
SZA
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-SZA
Lil Baby
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-BAB
Olivia Dean
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-OLI
Lil Wayne
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-WAY
Doechii
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-DOE
Dua Lipa
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-CUA
Frank Ocean
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-FRA
Kanye West / Ye
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-KAN
NF
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-NF
Coldplay
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-COL
Phoebe Bridgers
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-PHO
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-BIL
Kacey Musgraves
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-KAC
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.