Eric Garcia · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP
Eric Garcia is priced at 49¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 91¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP.
Price history
49¢ current
+47¢Contract brief
If Eric Garcia scores a goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Eric Garcia
Rank
#10 of 16
Leader
Ferran Torres 5¢
Range
3¢-5¢
Family volume
$17
Identifier
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-EGARCIA
Jul 2, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
91¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#10 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Family volume
$17
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 94¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Eric Garcia scores a goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Identifier
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-EGARCIA
Event family
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$17
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Ferran Torres 5¢
Current share
0%
Ferran Torres
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-FTORRES
Dani Olmo
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-DOLMO
Nico Williams
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-NWILLIAMS
Pedri
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-PEDRI
Fabian Ruiz
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-FRUIZ
Mikel Merino
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-MMERINO
Gavi
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-GAVI
Pau Cubarsi
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-PCUBARSI
Marc Cucurella
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-MCUCURELLA
Eric Garcia
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-EGARCIA
Borja Iglesias
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-BIGLESIAS
Victor Munoz
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-VMUNOZ
Yeremy Pino
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-YPINO
Martin Zubimendi
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-MZUBIMENDI
Pedro Porro
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-PPORRO
Marcos Llorente
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-MLLORENTE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 49% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.