Will exactly 5 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?
This contract is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 4¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$380
Best sibling
6 8¢
Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-5
Market snapshot
5 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will exactly 5 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?. The displayed quote is 8¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $176. In the KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03 family, this outcome ranks #6 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
5
Family rank
#6 of 7
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
8¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Nov 3, 2026
24h volume
$176
Family context
7 outcomes · KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03
Quote range
8¢-18¢
Family leader
2 18¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 2m ago
Venue identifier: KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-5. Family volume: $380.
Price history
8¢ current
+2¢Orderbook snapshot
8 / 12¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the number of Democratic House members that lose their primary in 2026 is exactly 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Identifier
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-5
Event family
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$380
Outcomes
7
Highest price
2 18¢
Current share
46%
5
kalshi · KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-5
6
kalshi · KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-6
2
kalshi · KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-2
7 or more
kalshi · KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-6T
1
kalshi · KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-1
3
kalshi · KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-3
4
kalshi · KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-4
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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