Fay · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL
Fay is priced at 51¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 47¢ bid, 53¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 15 inside KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL.
Price history
51¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If a storm named Fay is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Fay
Rank
#5 of 15
Leader
Nana 95¢
Range
1¢-95¢
Family volume
$603
Identifier
KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-FAY
Jul 23, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
47¢
Ask
53¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$21
Family rank
#5 of 15
15 outcomes · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL
Closes
Dec 1, 2026
Family volume
$603
Orderbook snapshot
47 / 53¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a storm named Fay is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 1, 2026
Identifier
KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-FAY
Event family
KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$603
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Nana 95¢
Current share
0%
Nana
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-NAN
Gonzalo
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-GON
Dolly
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-DOL
Edouard
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-EDO
Fay
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-FAY
Cristobal
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-CRI
Hanna
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-HAN
Isaias
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-ISA
Josephine
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-JOS
Kyle
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-KYL
Leah
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-LEA
Marco
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-MAR
Paulette
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-PAU
Bertha
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-BER
Arthur
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-ART
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
weather
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 51% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.