SimpleFunctions

Georgia win at least 9 games this season

9+ wins is priced at 66¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 52¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 28¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 7 inside Will Georgia win at least.

Price history

66¢ current

+64¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 12, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If the Georgia college football team has at least 9 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

9+ wins

Rank

#5 of 7

Leader

7+ wins 81¢

Range

11¢-81¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26UGA-9

May 24, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 25m ago

Implied probability

66¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 24, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 25m ago

Bid

52¢

Ask

80¢

Spread

28¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#5 of 7

7 outcomes · Will Georgia win at least

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

52 / 80¢

Kalshi
28¢ spread
BidSize
52¢5
51¢5
50¢10
48¢20
24¢52
AskSize
80¢5
81¢5
93¢5
94¢117
95¢10

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Georgia college football team has at least 9 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26UGA-9

SF Signal
SF Index
94.00
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Georgia win at least.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

7

Highest price

7+ wins 81¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

160.2%

IY (No)

188.0%

Adj IY

94%

CRI

1

Overround

2.6%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

160.2%
188.0%
Adj IY
94%
1
Overround
2.6%

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.