Georgia win at least 8 games this season
8+ wins is priced at 80¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 61¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 37¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 7 inside Will Georgia win at least.
Price history
80¢ current
+78¢Contract brief
If the Georgia college football team has at least 8 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
8+ wins
Rank
#3 of 7
Leader
7+ wins 81¢
Range
11¢-81¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26UGA-8
May 24, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
61¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
37¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#3 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Georgia win at least
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
61 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Georgia college football team has at least 8 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26UGA-8
Event family
Will Georgia win at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
7
Highest price
7+ wins 81¢
Current share
—
7+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26UGA-7
6+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26UGA-6
8+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26UGA-8
10+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26UGA-10
9+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26UGA-9
11+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26UGA-11
12 wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26UGA-12
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.