SimpleFunctions

Georgia win at least 10 games this season

10+ wins is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 65¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 7 inside Will Georgia win at least.

Price history

66¢ current

+64¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 12, 2026May 23, 2026

Contract brief

If the Georgia college football team has at least 10 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

10+ wins

Rank

#4 of 7

Leader

7+ wins 81¢

Range

11¢-81¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26UGA-10

May 24, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 29m ago

Implied probability

66¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 29m ago

Bid

53¢

Ask

65¢

Spread

12¢

Reported volume

$22

Family rank

#4 of 7

7 outcomes · Will Georgia win at least

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

53 / 65¢

Kalshi
12¢ spread
BidSize
53¢5
52¢105
51¢205
41¢139
40¢177
AskSize
65¢110
66¢278
75¢28
76¢120
77¢252

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Georgia college football team has at least 10 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26UGA-10

SF Signal
SF Index
98.00
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Georgia win at least.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

7

Highest price

7+ wins 81¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

154.1%

IY (No)

196.0%

Adj IY

98%

CRI

1

Overround

2.6%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

154.1%
196.0%
Adj IY
98%
1
Overround
2.6%

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.