SimpleFunctions

Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 102 (Mercedes-Benz Stadium) on TicketData above $1750 on 3:00PM ET July 15th, 2026

Above $1750 is priced at 98¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 98¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 12 inside Will Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 102 (Mercedes-Benz Stadium) on TicketData be above $.

Price history

98¢ current

+44¢
50¢75¢100¢
Jun 10, 2026Jun 21, 2026

Contract brief

If the Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 102 (Mercedes-Benz Stadium) on TicketData is above $1750 at 3:00PM ET July 15th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $1750

Rank

#1 of 12

Leader

Above $1750 98¢

Range

25¢-98¢

Family volume

$115

Identifier

KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI2-1750

Jun 25, 2026, 3:35 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

98¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 3:35 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

98¢

Ask

99¢

Spread

24h volume

$1

Family rank

#1 of 12

12 outcomes · Will Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 102 (Mercedes-Benz Stadium) on TicketData be above $

Closes

Jul 15, 2026

Family volume

$115

Orderbook snapshot

98 / 99¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
98¢1.3K
97¢136
89¢1.0K
70¢16
65¢16
AskSize
99¢5.5K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 102 (Mercedes-Benz Stadium) on TicketData is above $1750 at 3:00PM ET July 15th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 15, 2026

Identifier

KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI2-1750

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.