SimpleFunctions

Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 102 (Mercedes-Benz Stadium) on TicketData above $3250 on 3:00PM ET July 15th, 2026

Above $3250 is priced at 89¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 79¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 12 inside Will Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 102 (Mercedes-Benz Stadium) on TicketData be above $.

Price history

89¢ current

+39¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jun 11, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If the Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 102 (Mercedes-Benz Stadium) on TicketData is above $3250 at 3:00PM ET July 15th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $3250

Rank

#6 of 12

Leader

Above $1750 98¢

Range

26¢-98¢

Family volume

$130

Identifier

KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI2-3250

Jun 25, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

89¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

79¢

Ask

80¢

Spread

Reported volume

$505

Family rank

#6 of 12

12 outcomes · Will Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 102 (Mercedes-Benz Stadium) on TicketData be above $

Closes

Jul 15, 2026

Family volume

$130

Orderbook snapshot

79 / 80¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢2.1K
79¢6
50¢1.0K
2¢46
AskSize
80¢50
81¢10
89¢45
90¢64
94¢1.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 102 (Mercedes-Benz Stadium) on TicketData is above $3250 at 3:00PM ET July 15th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 15, 2026

Identifier

KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI2-3250

SF Signal
SF Index
6789.77
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

479.8%

IY (No)

6789.8%

Adj IY

6790%

CRI

4

RV

1175%

VR

3.55

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

479.8%
6789.8%
Adj IY
6790%
4
RV
1175%
VR
3.55
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
5.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.