Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 102 (Mercedes-Benz Stadium) on TicketData above $4500 on 3:00PM ET July 15th, 2026
Above $4500 is priced at 35¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 21¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 12 inside Will Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 102 (Mercedes-Benz Stadium) on TicketData be above $.
Price history
35¢ current
+33¢Contract brief
If the Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 102 (Mercedes-Benz Stadium) on TicketData is above $4500 at 3:00PM ET July 15th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $4500
Rank
#11 of 12
Leader
Above $1750 98¢
Range
26¢-98¢
Family volume
$130
Identifier
KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI2-4500
Jun 25, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
30¢
Ask
51¢
Spread
21¢
24h volume
$4
Family rank
#11 of 12
12 outcomes · Will Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 102 (Mercedes-Benz Stadium) on TicketData be above $
Closes
Jul 15, 2026
Family volume
$130
Orderbook snapshot
30 / 51¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 102 (Mercedes-Benz Stadium) on TicketData is above $4500 at 3:00PM ET July 15th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 15, 2026
Identifier
KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI2-4500
Event family
Will Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 102 (Mercedes-Benz Stadium) on TicketData be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$130
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Above $1750 98¢
Current share
3%
Above $1750
kalshi · KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI2-1750
Above $2000
kalshi · KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI2-2000
Above $2750
kalshi · KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI2-2750
Above $3000
kalshi · KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI2-3000
Above $2250
kalshi · KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI2-2250
Above $3250
kalshi · KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI2-3250
Above $2500
kalshi · KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI2-2500
Above $3500
kalshi · KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI2-3500
Above $3750
kalshi · KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI2-3750
Above $4000
kalshi · KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI2-4000
Above $4500
kalshi · KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI2-4500
Above $4250
kalshi · KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI2-4250
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 35% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.