SimpleFunctions

Grand Theft Auto VI

Above 140K is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above.

Price history

26¢ current

−3¢
25¢30¢
Sep 23, 2026Sep 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI has above 140K Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 140K

Rank

#6 of 16

Leader

Above 20K 79¢

Range

2¢-79¢

Family volume

$807

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-GTA626NOV26-140K

Sep 24, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

26¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 24, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

26¢

Ask

34¢

Spread

8¢

Reported volume

$338

Family rank

#6 of 16

16 outcomes · Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above

Closes

Nov 29, 2026

Family volume

$807

Orderbook snapshot

26 / 34¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
26¢101
AskSize
34¢101

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI has above 140K Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 29, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-GTA626NOV26-140K

SF Signal
SF Index
785.34
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMEQUIV series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1570.7%

IY (No)

193.9%

Adj IY

785%

CRI

3

Overround

4.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1570.7%
193.9%
Adj IY
785%
3
Overround
4.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.