SimpleFunctions

Green Bay · KXNFLH2HWINS-27GBDET

Green Bay is priced at 30¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXNFLH2HWINS-27GBDET.

Price history

30¢ current

+8¢
0¢25¢50¢
Aug 19, 2026Sep 17, 2026

Contract brief

If Green Bay records more wins than Detroit in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Green Bay

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Detroit 65¢

Range

30¢-65¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNFLH2HWINS-27GBDET-GB

Sep 17, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

30¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 17, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

29¢

Ask

39¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$728

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNFLH2HWINS-27GBDET

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

29 / 39¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
29¢1.0K
AskSize
39¢1.0K
54¢90
70¢200
79¢1.5K
81¢4

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Green Bay records more wins than Detroit in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLH2HWINS-27GBDET-GB

SF Signal
SF Index
311.55
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNFLH2HWINS-27GBDET.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Detroit 65¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

623.1%
114.4%
Adj IY
312%
2

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.