Will Green Bay win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?

Green Bay's 6¢ price reflects a heavily bearish market view, with the implied yield on Yes contracts reaching an extraordinary 672.2% — a massive risk premium suggesting either deep skepticism about their championship odds or potential mispricing. The 1,032-day timeframe provides substantial runway for value realization, yet the $389.35 daily volume against $192,461.84 open interest indicates thin liquidity that could amplify price swings if new information emerges about the team's trajectory. The 19 Cliff Risk Index warrants caution, as it suggests meaningful probability concentration near resolution, making this a high-variance bet despite the low nominal price.

Resolution rules

If Green Bay wins the 2027 Pro Football Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

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