Hakeem Jeffries · KXNEXTSPEAKER-31
Hakeem Jeffries is priced at 77¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 73¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside KXNEXTSPEAKER-31.
Price history
77¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If Hakeem Jeffries is the first Speaker of the House after Mike Johnson, before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Hakeem Jeffries
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Hakeem Jeffries 73¢
Range
4¢-73¢
Family volume
$455
Identifier
KXNEXTSPEAKER-31-HJEF
Jun 24, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
73¢
Ask
77¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$455
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · KXNEXTSPEAKER-31
Closes
Jan 1, 2031
Family volume
$455
Orderbook snapshot
73 / 77¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Hakeem Jeffries is the first Speaker of the House after Mike Johnson, before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2031
Identifier
KXNEXTSPEAKER-31-HJEF
Event family
KXNEXTSPEAKER-31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$455
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Hakeem Jeffries 73¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
Read 77% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.