SimpleFunctions

Hanshin Tigers · KXNPB-26

Hanshin Tigers is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 29¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 12 inside KXNPB-26.

Price history

7¢ current

6¢
10¢20¢
Jun 25, 2026Jul 22, 2026

Contract brief

If the Hanshin Tigers are the 2026 Japan NPB champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Hanshin Tigers

Rank

#6 of 12

Leader

Saitama Seibu Lions 35¢

Range

2¢-35¢

Family volume

$209

Identifier

KXNPB-26-HAN

Jul 22, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 4m ago

Implied probability

7¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 22, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 4m ago

Bid

Ask

37¢

Spread

29¢

24h volume

$204

Family rank

#6 of 12

12 outcomes · KXNPB-26

Closes

Dec 15, 2026

Family volume

$209

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 37¢

Kalshi
29¢ spread
BidSize
8¢1
7¢426
AskSize
37¢1
38¢5
42¢222
55¢127
70¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Hanshin Tigers are the 2026 Japan NPB champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 15, 2026

Identifier

KXNPB-26-HAN

SF Signal
SF Index
2871.44
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2871.4%

IY (No)

21.7%

Adj IY

2871%

CRI

12

RV

1906%

VR

3.23

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2871.4%
21.7%
Adj IY
2871%
12
RV
1906%
VR
3.23
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.