Saitama Seibu Lions · KXNPB-26
Saitama Seibu Lions is priced at 35¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 33¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 12 inside KXNPB-26.
Price history
35¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If the Saitama Seibu Lions are the 2026 Japan NPB champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Saitama Seibu Lions
Rank
#1 of 12
Leader
Saitama Seibu Lions 35¢
Range
2¢-35¢
Family volume
$209
Identifier
KXNPB-26-SAI
Jul 22, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
33¢
Spread
33¢
Reported volume
$402
Family rank
#1 of 12
12 outcomes · KXNPB-26
Closes
Dec 15, 2026
Family volume
$209
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 33¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Saitama Seibu Lions are the 2026 Japan NPB champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 15, 2026
Identifier
KXNPB-26-SAI
Event family
KXNPB-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$209
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Saitama Seibu Lions 35¢
Current share
0%
Saitama Seibu Lions
kalshi · KXNPB-26-SAI
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
kalshi · KXNPB-26-HOK
Yomiuri Giants
kalshi · KXNPB-26-YOM
Fukuoka Hawks
kalshi · KXNPB-26-FUK
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
kalshi · KXNPB-26-TOH
Hanshin Tigers
kalshi · KXNPB-26-HAN
Orix Buffaloes
kalshi · KXNPB-26-ORI
Chiba Lotte Marines
kalshi · KXNPB-26-CHI
Chunichi Dragons
kalshi · KXNPB-26-CHU
Hiroshima Toyo Carp
kalshi · KXNPB-26-HIR
Tokyo Yakult Swallows
kalshi · KXNPB-26-YAK
Yokohama DeNA BayStars
kalshi · KXNPB-26-YOK
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 35% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.