Heidi Kuhn · KXTNPRIMARY-08D26
Heidi Kuhn is priced at 31¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside KXTNPRIMARY-08D26.
Price history
31¢ current
+20¢Contract brief
If Heidi Kuhn wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 TN-08 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Heidi Kuhn
Rank
#2 of 4
Leader
Leonard Perkins 56¢
Range
3¢-56¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXTNPRIMARY-08D26-HKUH
May 28, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
30¢
Ask
31¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$7K
Family rank
#2 of 4
4 outcomes · KXTNPRIMARY-08D26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
30 / 31¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Heidi Kuhn wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 TN-08 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXTNPRIMARY-08D26-HKUH
Event family
KXTNPRIMARY-08D26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Leonard Perkins 56¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.