Will Houston win the College Football Big 12 Championship?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Houston win the College Football Big 12 Championship?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing January 2, 2027. Houston's championship odds are priced at a negligible 4¢ with virtually no trading activity ($0 in 24h volume), suggesting minimal market conviction despite the extremely high implied yield of 3361.5% for Yes positions.
Analysis
Houston's championship odds are priced at a negligible 4¢ with virtually no trading activity ($0 in 24h volume), suggesting minimal market conviction despite the extremely high implied yield of 3361.5% for Yes positions. The 1¢ spread and modest $894 open interest indicate low liquidity, making this a speculative long-shot bet rather than a liquid prediction market. The price has doubled from 2¢ to 4¢ over seven days, which could reflect either genuine belief in Houston's chances or thin-market volatility given the near-zero volume.
Resolution rules
If Houston wins the 2026 College Football Big 12 Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNCAAFB12-26-HOU yes 100