Hunter Goodman · KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26
Hunter Goodman is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26.
Price history
43¢ current
+40¢Contract brief
If Hunter Goodman is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Hunter Goodman
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
Bryce Harper 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$11K
Identifier
KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-HGOODMAN15
Jul 10, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
37¢
Ask
43¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$304
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26
Closes
Jul 14, 2026
Family volume
$11K
Orderbook snapshot
37 / 43¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Hunter Goodman is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 14, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-HGOODMAN15
Event family
KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$11K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Bryce Harper 99¢
Current share
3%
Bryce Harper
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-BHARPER3
Kyle Schwarber
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-KSCHWARBER12
Jordan Walker
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-JWALKER18
Pete Alonso
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-PALONSO25
Hunter Goodman
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-HGOODMAN15
James Wood
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-JWOOD29
Mike Trout
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-MTROUT27
Brandon Lowe
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-BLOWE5
Munetaka Murakami
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-MMURAKAMI5
Aaron Judge
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-AJUDGE99
Miguel Vargas
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-MVARGAS20
Byron Buxton
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-BBUXTON25
Yordan Alvarez
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-YALVAREZ44
Shohei Ohtani
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-SOHTANI17
Matt Olson
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-MOLSON28
Julio Rodriguez
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-JRODRIGUEZ
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.