SimpleFunctions

Imaan Hammam · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31

Imaan Hammam is priced at 72¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 73¢ bid, 81¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside KXVSANGLES-26DEC31.

Price history

72¢ current

+1¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jul 21, 2026Aug 19, 2026

Contract brief

If Imaan Hammam is an official runway model at the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Imaan Hammam

Rank

#11 of 16

Leader

Gigi Hadid 92¢

Range

32¢-92¢

Family volume

$134

Identifier

KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-IMA

Aug 20, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 37m ago

Implied probability

72¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 20, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 37m ago

Bid

73¢

Ask

81¢

Spread

Reported volume

$32

Family rank

#11 of 16

16 outcomes · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Family volume

$134

Orderbook snapshot

73 / 81¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
73¢5
72¢200
AskSize
81¢200
96¢35
97¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Imaan Hammam is an official runway model at the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-IMA

SF Signal
SF Index
325.02
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

101.4%

IY (No)

741.5%

Adj IY

325%

CRI

3

Overround

19.6%

LAS

0.12

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

101.4%
741.5%
Adj IY
325%
3
Overround
19.6%
LAS
0.12

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.