SimpleFunctions

Indiana · KXNCAAF-27

Indiana is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXNCAAF-27.

Price history

10¢ current

+1¢
5¢10¢
Aug 27, 2026Sep 11, 2026

Contract brief

If Indiana wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Indiana

Rank

#6 of 16

Leader

Texas 13¢

Range

1¢-13¢

Family volume

$890K

Identifier

KXNCAAF-27-IND

Sep 21, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 44m ago

Implied probability

10¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 21, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 44m ago

Bid

10¢

Ask

11¢

Spread

24h volume

$9K

Family rank

#6 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAAF-27

Closes

Feb 23, 2027

Family volume

$890K

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 11¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
10¢117K
9¢104K
8¢42K
7¢1.6K
6¢11K
AskSize
11¢270K
12¢265K
13¢51K
14¢909
15¢23

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Indiana wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 23, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAF-27-IND

SF Signal
SF Index
957.74
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2128.3%

IY (No)

26.3%

Adj IY

958%

CRI

9

Overround

-0.2%

LAS

0.10

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2128.3%
26.3%
Adj IY
958%
9
Overround
-0.2%
LAS
0.10

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.