Texas · KXNCAAF-27
Texas is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXNCAAF-27.
Price history
11¢ current
Contract brief
If Texas wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Texas
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Texas 11¢
Range
1¢-11¢
Family volume
$34K
Identifier
KXNCAAF-27-TEX
Jun 22, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
12¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$421
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNCAAF-27
Closes
Feb 23, 2027
Family volume
$34K
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 12¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Texas wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 23, 2027
Identifier
KXNCAAF-27-TEX
Event family
KXNCAAF-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$34K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Texas 11¢
Current share
1%
Texas
kalshi · KXNCAAF-27-TEX
Notre Dame
kalshi · KXNCAAF-27-ND
Oregon
kalshi · KXNCAAF-27-ORE
Ohio St.
kalshi · KXNCAAF-27-OSU
Miami (FL)
kalshi · KXNCAAF-27-MIA
Georgia
kalshi · KXNCAAF-27-UGA
LSU
kalshi · KXNCAAF-27-LSU
Texas A&M
kalshi · KXNCAAF-27-TXAM
Oklahoma
kalshi · KXNCAAF-27-OKLA
Ole Miss
kalshi · KXNCAAF-27-MISS
Oklahoma St.
kalshi · KXNCAAF-27-OKST
USC
kalshi · KXNCAAF-27-USC
Florida
kalshi · KXNCAAF-27-FLA
Penn St.
kalshi · KXNCAAF-27-PSU
Utah
kalshi · KXNCAAF-27-UTAH
Missouri
kalshi · KXNCAAF-27-MIZZ
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 11% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.