SimpleFunctions

Irina Shayk · KXMEDIACOVERSI-27

Irina Shayk is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 71¢ ask, 65¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside KXMEDIACOVERSI-27.

Price history

8¢ current

+3¢
0¢10¢
Jul 1, 2026Jul 7, 2026

Contract brief

If it is announced that Irina Shayk is on the cover of 2027 Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Irina Shayk

Rank

#10 of 16

Leader

Ella Halikas 18¢

Range

4¢-18¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXMEDIACOVERSI-27-IRI

Jul 11, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

8¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 11, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

Ask

71¢

Spread

65¢

Reported volume

$178

Family rank

#10 of 16

16 outcomes · KXMEDIACOVERSI-27

Closes

Dec 31, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 71¢

Kalshi
65¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
6¢200
4¢10
2¢35
AskSize
71¢5
72¢3
73¢216
75¢58
91¢30

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If it is announced that Irina Shayk is on the cover of 2027 Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2027

Identifier

KXMEDIACOVERSI-27-IRI

SF Signal
SF Index
531.66
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1063.3%

IY (No)

4.3%

Adj IY

532%

CRI

16

Overround

0.7%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1063.3%
4.3%
Adj IY
532%
16
Overround
0.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.