SimpleFunctions

Kim Petras · KXMEDIACOVERSI-27

Kim Petras is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 28¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXMEDIACOVERSI-27.

Price history

2¢ current

3¢
0¢10¢
Jul 1, 2026Jul 7, 2026

Contract brief

If it is announced that Kim Petras is on the cover of 2027 Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Kim Petras

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

Ella Halikas 18¢

Range

4¢-18¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXMEDIACOVERSI-27-KIM

Jul 8, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

2¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 8, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

11¢

Ask

39¢

Spread

28¢

Reported volume

$124

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · KXMEDIACOVERSI-27

Closes

Dec 31, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 39¢

Kalshi
28¢ spread
BidSize
11¢200
6¢83
4¢9
3¢46
2¢430
AskSize
39¢5
40¢10
50¢1
57¢43
58¢32

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If it is announced that Kim Petras is on the cover of 2027 Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2027

Identifier

KXMEDIACOVERSI-27-KIM

SF Signal
SF Index
272.70
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

545.4%

IY (No)

8.3%

Adj IY

273%

CRI

8

Overround

0.7%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

545.4%
8.3%
Adj IY
273%
8
Overround
0.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.