Before Jul 10, 2026 · Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers before Ju
Before Jul 10, 2026 is priced at 54¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 43¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 6 inside Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers before Ju.
Price history
54¢ current
−12¢Contract brief
If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Jul 10, 2026
Rank
#4 of 6
Leader
Before Jul 31, 2026 66¢
Range
18¢-66¢
Family volume
$29K
Identifier
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL10
Jun 23, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
43¢
Ask
44¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
#4 of 6
6 outcomes · Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers before Ju
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Family volume
$29K
Orderbook snapshot
43 / 44¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Identifier
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL10
Event family
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers before Ju.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$29K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Before Jul 31, 2026 66¢
Current share
15%
Before Jul 31, 2026
kalshi · KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL31
Before Jul 24, 2026
kalshi · KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL24
Before Jul 17, 2026
kalshi · KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL17
Before Jul 10, 2026
kalshi · KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL10
Before Jul 1, 2026
kalshi · KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
Before Jun 27, 2026
kalshi · KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket
Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 54% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.