Before Jun 27, 2026 · Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers before Ju
Before Jun 27, 2026 is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 6 inside Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers before Ju.
Price history
14¢ current
−39¢Contract brief
If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Jun 27, 2026
Rank
#6 of 6
Leader
Before Jul 31, 2026 90¢
Range
13¢-90¢
Family volume
$136K
Identifier
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
Jun 25, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$39K
Family rank
#6 of 6
6 outcomes · Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers before Ju
Closes
Jun 27, 2026
Family volume
$136K
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 27, 2026
Identifier
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
Event family
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers before Ju.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$136K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Before Jul 31, 2026 90¢
Current share
28%
Before Jul 31, 2026
kalshi · KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL31
Before Jul 17, 2026
kalshi · KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL17
Before Jul 24, 2026
kalshi · KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL24
Before Jul 10, 2026
kalshi · KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL10
Before Jul 1, 2026
kalshi · KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
Before Jun 27, 2026
kalshi · KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.