Jac Caglianone · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20
Jac Caglianone is priced at 67¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 69¢ bid, 74¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20.
Price history
67¢ current
+42¢Contract brief
If Jac Caglianone records 20+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jac Caglianone
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
James Wood 95¢
Range
1¢-95¢
Family volume
$324
Identifier
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-JCAGLIANONE14
Jun 26, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
69¢
Ask
74¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$207
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20
Closes
Oct 3, 2026
Family volume
$324
Orderbook snapshot
69 / 74¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jac Caglianone records 20+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 3, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-JCAGLIANONE14
Event family
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$324
Outcomes
16
Highest price
James Wood 95¢
Current share
64%
James Wood
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-JWOOD29
Brandon Lowe
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-BLOWE5
CJ Abrams
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-CABRAMS5
Jac Caglianone
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-JCAGLIANONE14
Cody Bellinger
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-CBELLINGER35
Spencer Steer
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-SSTEER7
Brandon Nimmo
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-BNIMMO24
Brice Turang
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-BTURANG2
Alex Bregman
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-ABREGMAN3
Adley Rutschman
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-ARUTSCHMAN35
Bo Bichette
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-BBICHETTE19
Alec Bohm
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-ABOHM28
Christian Yelich
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-CYELICH22
Alejandro Kirk
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-AKIRK30
Brett Baty
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-BBATY7
Carlos Correa
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-CCORREA1
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.