Jimmy Patronis · KXFLPRIMARY-01R26
Jimmy Patronis is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 97¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside KXFLPRIMARY-01R26.
Price history
99¢ current
Contract brief
If Jimmy Patronis wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jimmy Patronis
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
Jimmy Patronis 97¢
Range
1¢-97¢
Family volume
$30
Identifier
KXFLPRIMARY-01R26-JPAT
Aug 17, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
97¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$10
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · KXFLPRIMARY-01R26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$30
Orderbook snapshot
97 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jimmy Patronis wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXFLPRIMARY-01R26-JPAT
Event family
KXFLPRIMARY-01R26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$30
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Jimmy Patronis 97¢
Current share
33%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.